So, what does this all mean for the Blue? Well considering both Adam Dunn and Bobby Abreu were fallback options for the Dodgers had they failed to sign Manny, who knows! But this much we do know: the Dodgers had better know what the hell they're doing because if they don't figure this all out, they could not only end up losing Manny, but Dunn and Abreu, as well. Think about this for a second here. The Dodgers could very well end up starting Juan Pierre in left field again, and this time there is no Andruw Jones to platoon him with (although in hindsight, is anyone upset about that part of this?!).
On Sunday, Dylan Hernandez of the L.A. Times spoke with Manny who said negotiations "were in the seventh inning." What we don't know is with whom. The Dodgers? Giants? Some other team who has already said 'No thanks' in regards to Manny? We know it won't be the Angels since Abreu just reached an agreement with them this morning, so McCourt and his brass don't have to worry about Arte Moreno and the Halos stealing their SoCal thunder. Then yesterday, the East Valley Tribune in Arizona reported that the Dodgers "could make a splash in the next 72 hours" and they went on to elaborate on Manny and possibly Orlando Hudson.
Is this all a preclude to what could happen in the next 48 hours now? Are the Dodgers really that close to signing Manny? This all just seems too coincidental for me to not believe. I think Abreu was more or less waiting for the right team to come along with a decent offer. One year and about $5MM isn't necessarily a decent offer considering he made $16MM last season with the Yankees and was looking for at least a three year deal. But the way this market has gone this winter, is anyone really surprised that Abreu had to settle for just one year? (I actually thought he would re-sign in New York a long time ago, but apparently there was no interest from the Yankees.)
Adam Dunn is a whole different bag of oranges. He, too, was waiting for the right deal and team to come around with a solid offer, and he did manage to get two years from Washington. But was that really the team he wanted to play for? About a month ago, it was said that Dunn was essentially waiting for the Dodgers to figure out the Manny thing because the Dodgers were at the top of his 'wish list' of teams he wanted to play for. Many believe the Dodgers would have been better off with Dunn over Manny, but of course, as I've said in this space before, I don't buy it. I'm in the minority.
So have the Dodgers and Ned Colletti lost their leverage with Manny? I think they have, but I also think they haven't. Hear me out here. The Dodgers are the only team to have made any known offers to him. Manny turned them both down. Manny wants four years; the Dodgers haven't gone any higher than two, and have no reason to at this point. Or do they? If the Giants are seriously involved, and are negotiating with Manny and Scott Boras, then there's obviously a good chance they'll find a way to come up with three years to meet Manny at the half-way mark between two and four years. But we all know damn well that the Dodgers will do whatever they have to prevent that from happening. This is where the three year deal from the Dodgers comes in. I've been saying all winter that a three year, $70MM deal will get this done.
The Dodgers played this very same game with Rafael Furcal, and it worked. The Braves came out of nowhere with a three year offer, something the Dodgers publically said they would not do. When the Braves did, the Dodgers were given one last opportunity to match or beat Atlanta's offer, and they did. Who's to say this can't happen with Manny? For all we know, the Giants might be the team Manny was referring to on Sunday when he said negotiations were in the seventh inning. The Dodgers could very well come to bat in the bottom of the ninth inning after the Giants make an offer, and come up with a walk-off and get this deal done.
Some people think now that Abreu and Dunn are spoken for, the Dodgers need Manny more than Manny needs the Dodgers, and these two signings could prompt the Dodgers to bid against themselves (assuming no other team is in negotiations with Manny - which I find hard to believe considering Manny's agent is Scott Boras), cave in, and offer a third year. But this much we know: the Dodgers have made it be known publicly, in recent days, as well, that they want Manny. No other team has been as vocal about it. At this point, in light of the reports, rumors, stories and events that have transpired over the last 72 hours, I can't imagine Manny is close to signing anywhere but with the Blue.